The Playoffs Are a Crapshoot, Part 3: Adjusting for Opponent Quality

Before we get to Jonathan F’s brilliance, Playoffs are a Crapshoot Part 3, Here are Notes from Matt L: Last night, we successfully migrated BravesJournal to a new host. This officially gives Ryan and the community full access/ownership to BravesJournal and full administration permissions. Additionally, this will (and already has in most cases) enable us … Continue reading “The Playoffs Are a Crapshoot, Part 3: Adjusting for Opponent Quality”

Atlanta Braves Extension Candidate: Brian Snitker

When looking at contracts and extension candidates, we often forget about the ones making the on field decisions. With that in mind, today’s Atlanta Braves extension candidate is none other than manager Brian Snitker, the (sometimes) mustached (always) loyal man in the captain’s chair. Brian Snitker’s Background If you know anything about the Braves, you … Continue reading “Atlanta Braves Extension Candidate: Brian Snitker”

The Playoffs Are a Crapshoot, Part 2: Basic Probability Math

If you missed the first piece in “Playoffs are a Crapshoot”, it provided a basic overview of what will be discussed and you can find it here. There are 10 teams that make the playoffs every year, six division winners and 4 wild card teams.  Suppose that the probability of each of them winning the … Continue reading “The Playoffs Are a Crapshoot, Part 2: Basic Probability Math”

The Playoffs Are a Crapshoot, a 6-Part Series: Introduction

It was Billy Beane in Moneyball who famously remarked, “The playoffs are a crapshoot”.  The argument goes that whatever assiduousness and craft goes into producing a winning regular season team, the outcome of the playoffs is random.  I want to use my offseason opportunity this year to explore this a little bit.  A warning up … Continue reading “The Playoffs Are a Crapshoot, a 6-Part Series: Introduction”

Atlanta Braves Extension Candidate: Mike Soroka

Maple Maddux aka M-m-m-Mike Soroka, as my daughter affectionately calls him, was the Atlanta Braves ace of the 2019 season. Pitching to a 4 or 5.6 WAR, depending on your choice between B-ref or Fangraph’s evaluations, the 22 year old is the subject of today’s piece, Atlanta Braves Extension Candidate: Mike Soroka. Mike Soroka’s Background … Continue reading “Atlanta Braves Extension Candidate: Mike Soroka”

Atlanta Braves Extension Candidate: Freddie Freeman

Today we will explore Atlanta Braves extension candidate Freddie Freeman. The cornerstone of the franchise and a guy that loves the Braves, it would be great to lock Freddie up long term. He has stated many times before that he wants to be a lifelong Brave and there’s no reason why the franchise shouldn’t keep … Continue reading “Atlanta Braves Extension Candidate: Freddie Freeman”

Atlanta Braves Top Prospects by Braves Journal, 5, 4, 3, 2, 1.

In case you missed the first 6 installments of our Atlanta Braves Prospects Lists, you can find them here: Braves Journal’s Top 30 Prospects: Just Missed Braves Journal’s Top 30 Prospect, 30-26 Braves Journal’s Top 30 Prospects, 25-21 Braves Journal’s Top 30 Prospects, 20-16 Braves Journal’s Top 30 Prospects, 15-11 Braves Journal’s Top 30 Prospects, … Continue reading “Atlanta Braves Top Prospects by Braves Journal, 5, 4, 3, 2, 1.”

Merry Christmas from Braves Journal!

The next 2 days will be a contest, of sorts! Create your Braves themed Christmas Parody song and we will judge it as a community. The winner will win a Braves Journal tee of his or her choice! The following brilliance is by Rusty S! You better watch outYou better bid highBetter not doubtI’m telling … Continue reading “Merry Christmas from Braves Journal!”

Atlanta Braves Top Prospects by Braves Journal, #10-6

In case you missed the first 5 installments of our Atlanta Braves Top Prospects, you can find them here: Braves Journal’s Top 30 Prospects: Just Missed Braves Journal’s Top 30 Prospect, 30-26 Braves Journal’s Top 30 Prospects, 25-21 Braves Journal’s Top 30 Prospects, 20-16 Braves Journal’s Top 30 Prospects, 15-11 A reminder that this is … Continue reading “Atlanta Braves Top Prospects by Braves Journal, #10-6”

Atlanta Braves Extension Candidate: Cristian Pache

Yesterday, we ended our 2019 Atlanta Braves Player Review series and today we begin to look forward to the 2020 season and a new series: Atlanta Braves Extension Candidates. We start with a story similar to our beloved Ronald Acuna with a player whose skillset, although different from Acuna’s, is loud and cannot be ignored: … Continue reading “Atlanta Braves Extension Candidate: Cristian Pache”