This is the 2nd part in a study on transactions orchestrated by Alex Anthopoulos. The first part, Free Agent Signings, can be found here. Finding diamonds in the rough seemed to be a strength for AA as most of his dealing in free agency worked out. In today’s piece, Braves MLB Trades Under Alex Anthopoulos, will he be as successful? Let’s see…
Braves MLB Trades Under Alex Anthopoulos
- November 30, 2017: Traded Jim Johnson and international bonus slot money to the Los Angeles Angels. Received Justin Kelly.
- December 16, 2017: Traded Matt Kemp to the Los Angeles Dodgers. Received Charlie Culberson, Adrian Gonzalez, Scott Kazmir, Brandon McCarthy and cash.
- December 20, 2017: Traded player to be named or cash to the Houston Astros. Received Preston Tucker.
- January 17, 2018: Traded player to be named or cash to the Pittsburgh Pirates. Received Shane Carle.
- July 26, 2018: Traded international bonus slot money to the Tampa Bay Rays. Received Jonny Venters.
- July 30, 2018: Traded international bonus slot money to the Baltimore Orioles. Received Brad Brach.
- Traded Lucas Sims, Preston Tucker and Matt Wisler to the Cincinnati Reds. Received Adam Duvall.
- July 31, 2018: Traded Brett Cumberland, JC Encarnacion, Bruce Zimmermann, Evan Phillips and international bonus slot money to the Baltimore Orioles. Received Kevin Gausman and Darren O’Day.
- August 29, 2018: Purchased Lucas Duda from the Kansas City Royals.
- March 24, 2019: Matt Joyce Purchased by the Atlanta Braves from the San Francisco Giants.
- April 28, 2019: Purchased Jerry Blevins from the Oakland Athletics.
- May 20, 2019: Traded Jesse Biddle and Arodys Vizcaino to the Seattle Mariners. Received Anthony Swarzak and cash.
- July 30, 2019: Traded Kolby Allard to the Texas Rangers. Received Chris Martin.
- July 31, 2019: Traded Joey Wentz and Travis Demeritte to the Detroit Tigers. Received Shane Greene.
- Traded Tristan Beck and Dan Winkler to the San Francisco Giants. Received Mark Melancon.
Braves MLB Trades Under Alex Anthopoulos: Outgoing Value
- Lucas Sims, Matt Wisler, Preston Tucker: 0.2 fWAR, .8 MM cost, 1.6 MM value
- Brett Cumberland, JC Encarnacion, Bruce Zimmerman, Evan Phillips: (only Phillips played in MLB) 0.3 fWAR, .4 MM cost, 2.4 MM value.
- Jesse Biddle, Arodys Vizcaino: -0.5 fWAR, .2 MM cost, -4MM value
- Kolby Allard: 1.1 fWAR, .3 MM cost, 8.8 MM value
- Joey Wentz, Travis Demeritte: -0.4 fWAR, .2 MM cost, -3.2 MM value
- Tristan Beck, Dan Winkler: DNP in MLB after trade, 0.6 MM cost, 0 value
- Jim Johnson: -0.2 fWAR, 5 MM cost, -1.6 MM value
- Matt Kemp: 1.6 fWAR, 44 MM cost, 12.8 MM value
Total Cost: 60MM
Total fWAR: 2.1, worth 16.8 MM
43.2 MM of “gained” production
Braves MLB Trades Under Alex Anthopoulos: Incoming Value
- Jonny Venters: -0.1 fWAR, 3MM cost, -0.8 MM value
- Brad Brach: 0.6 fWAR, 2.2MM cost, 4.8 MM value
- Adam Duvall: 0.6 fWAR, 2.8 MM cost, 4.8 MM value
- Kevin Gausman, Darren O’Day: 2.4 fWAR, 22MM cost, 21.2 MM value
- Anthony Swarzak: -0.2 fWAR, 4.2 MM cost, -1.6 MM value
- Chris Martin: 0.4 fWAR, 1 MM cost, 3.2 MM value
- Shane Greene: -0.1 fWAR, 1.6 MM cost, -0.8 MM value
- Mark Melancon: 0.6 fWAr, 5.6 MM cost, 4.8 MM value
- Charlie Culberson 1 fWAR, .5 MM cost, 8 MM value
- Adrian Gonzalez: DNP, 22 MM cost, 0 value
- Scott Kazmir: DNP, 17 MM cost, 0 value
- Brandon McCarthy: 0.2 fWAR 10.5 MM cost, 1.6 MM value
- Preston Tucker: 0.1 fWAR, .2 MM cost, .8 MM value
- Shane Carle: 0.2 fWAR, .78 MM cost, 1.6 MM value
- Matt Joyce: 1.2 fWAR, 1.25 MM cost, 9.6 MM value
- Lucas Duda: 0.3 fWAR, .2 MM, 2.4 MM value
- Jerry Blevins: 0.0 fWAR, 1 MM, 0 value
Total Cost: 93.65 MM
Total fWAR: 7.1, worth 56.8 MM
36.85 MM of lost production
Total for both: 6.35 MM of “gained” production
Is it a win when you lose less than your competition, but still lose a ton? As far as production is concerned, I mean…I guess. If one were to completely remove the Kemp trade, the numbers look drastically different:
- Outgoing: .5 fWAR, 16 MM cost, 4MM value (12 MM of “gained” production)
- Incoming: 5.9 fWAR, 44.65 MM cost, 47.2 MM value (2.55 MM of gained production)
- Total: 14.55 MM of gained production
In that exercise, which I think is pretty fair as the Olivera/Kemp debacle wasn’t Anthopoulos’s mess, he comes out looking pretty good. However, just like the pieces on the rebuild, it’s important to remember the cost-controlled players that were outgoing and incoming that are still under original team control. For the Braves, those are:
These 4 guys have value, but they also come with a fairly large combined cost. However, like O’Day (and Chris Martin, to a less extent), the Braves get first dibs on future contract negotiations and that holds value.
Now the other side:
- Lucas Sims
- Matt Wisler
- Brett Cumberland
- JC Encarnacion
- Bruce Zimmermann
- Evan Phillips
- Kolby Allard
- Joey Wentz
- Travis Demeritte
- Tristan Beck
That’s a lot of lottery tickets and live arms that the Braves sent out and while it’s more likely than not that most of them are fringy Major Leaguers, there’s a real chance some adapt their games enough to have decent careers and produce while they’re cheap. Obviously, Wentz is the big loss here, but he went under the knife for TJ a few months back and will be on the shelf until 2021 (which might not matter anyway). Also, I still like Demeritte and Cumberland’s chances to maximize their skillsets and become average big leaguers, and Sims has a real chance to become a back end bullpen stud. While not the top-tier the Braves kept in-house, almost everyone on this list is worthy of tab-keeping.
Thanks for reading “Braves MLB Trades Under Alex Anthopoulos”. If you enjoyed this piece, check out the 7-part series on the rebuild, of which all parts can be found here (obviously, start at piece 1).