*For those that have been following this series, I made a fairly large clerical error in Part 2 of this series and have corrected said mistake. Check that piece before moving ahead as it will provide clarity*
Today’s piece, “The Braves Rebuild 2016 In-Season Trades” is part 4 in our 7-part series. Here are links to the first 3 Parts:
- Part 1: Braves Rebuild, 2014-15 Offseason : Outgoing vs. Incoming Value
- Part 2: Braves Rebuild, 2015 In-season trades: Outgoing vs. Incoming Value
- Part 3: Braves Rebuild, 2015-16 Offseason: Outgoing vs. Incoming Value
The 2016 in-season trades have the least amount of flair that we’ve seen thus far in this series, and it likely has to do with the hyper-focus on the international signing class, where the Braves went all in on many high-end prospects. We all know how that ended and we’ll not re-hash that nightmare.
Braves Rebuild, 2016 In-season Trades:
- Traded Jhoulys Chacin to the Los Angeles Angels. Received Adam McCreery
- Traded Brandon Barker and Trevor Belicek to the Baltimore Orioles. Received Brian Matusz and 2016 competitive balance round B pick (turned into Brett Cumberland).
- Traded Jason Grilli and cash to the Toronto Blue Jays. Received Sean Ratcliffe.
- Traded Kelly Johnson and cash to the New York Mets. Received Akeel Morris
- Traded Alec Grosser, Dian Toscano, Bud Norris and cash to the Los Angeles Dodgers. Received Caleb Dirks and Phil Pfeifer.
- Traded Dario Alvarez and Lucas Harrell to the Texas Rangers. Received Travis Demeritte.
- Traded Héctor Olivera to the San Diego Padres. Received Matt Kemp and cash.
- Traded Hunter Cervenka to the&amp; Miami Marlins. Received Michael Mader and Anfernee Seymour.
- Traded Erick Aybar to the Detroit Tigers. Received Kade Scivicque and Mike Aviles
- Traded international bonus slot to the Texas Rangers and Jeff Francoeur to the Miami Marlins. Received Dylan Moore and Matt Foley.
- Traded Gordon Beckham to the San Francisco Giants. Received Richard Rodriguez.
Braves Rebuild, 2016 In-Season Trades: Value Outgoing
- Jhoulys Chacin: 1.3 fWAR, 0.9 MM cost, 10.4 MM value
- Brandon Barker and Trevor Belicek: No MLB experience
- Jason Grilli: 0.3 fWAR, .5 MM cost, 2.4 MM value
- Kelly Johnson: 1.1 fWAR, 0.3 MM cost, 8.8 MM value
- Alec Grosser, Dian Toscano, Bud Norris: -0.1 fWAR, 1.6 MM cost, -0.8 MM value
- Héctor Olivera: No MLB value, cost 28.5 MM
- Hunter Cervenka: -0.3 fWAR, .75 MM cost, -2.4 MM value
- Erick Aybar: 0.1 fWAR, ~2MM cost, .8 MM value
- Jeff Francoeur: -0.1 fWAR, .3 MM cost, -.8 MM value
- Gordon Beckham– -0.1 fWAR, .4 MM cost, -.8 MM value
Outgoing Production Value: 17.6 MM
Total Cost: $35.25 MM
17.65 MM of gained production (that’s weird to say)
Braves Rebuild, 2016 In-Season Trades: Value Incoming
- Adam McCreery: 0 fWAR, .125 MM cost, no value
- Brian Matusz: (did not play) 3 MM cost, 0 value
- Brett Cumberland: No MLB experience, 0 MLB cost
- Sean Ratcliffe: No MLB experience, 0 MLB cost
- Akeel Morris: 0.1 fWAR, .5 MM cost, .8 MM value
- Caleb Dirks and Phil Pfeifer: No MLB experience, 0 MLB cost
- Travis Demeritte: No MLB experience (with Braves), 0 MLB cost
- Matt Kemp: 0.7 fWAR, 24 MM cost, 5.6 MM value
- Michael Mader and Anfernee Seymour: No MLB experience, 0 MLB cost
- Kade Scivicque and Mike Aviles: No MLB experience, 0 MLB cost/Did not play, 1.2 MM cost
- Dylan Moore and Matt Foley: No MLB experience for Braves, 0 MLB cost/no MLB experience
Incoming Production Value: 7.6 MM
Total Cost: 28.825 MM
20.625 MM of lost production.
Since we can see into the future and rid ourselves of the financial commitment to Matt Kemp starting in 2018, the Braves only committed 24 MM to him and saved this exercise. Somehow, grouped together, the Braves were able to absorb the Olivera trade and only come out on the negative by 2.975 million all the while adding Phil Pfreakin Pfeifer to the mix of unknown future value, which now consists of:
- Max Fried
- Austin Riley
- Mike Foltynewicz
- A.J. Minter
- Touki Toussaint
- Phil Pfeifer
- Ender Inciarte
- Dansby Swanson
- Sean Newcomb
Adding all 4 outcomes in our first 4 parts of the series:
- +59.03 MM of gained production in Part 1
- -79.5 MM of gained production in Part 2
- +27.9 MM of gained production in Part 3
- -2.975 of gained production in Part 4
Total: 4.455 MM of gained production
Looks like we’re still in the +, people!
Thanks for reading on “The Braves Rebuild: Outgoing vs. Incoming Value, Part 4: 2016 In-Season Trades”. Check out all of our posts on the Rebuild here!