So it’s draft day

And it’s on TV this year. Anyway, everyone expects that the Braves, picking 14th, will do what they normally do and take a southern high school pitcher. Generally, the three names you hear are:

Madison Bumgartner (North Carolina)
Josh Smoker (Georgia)
Blake Beavan (Texas)

I dunno. I think that the Braves might change up and take a position player again, at least if Bumgartner is off the board, as he probably will be.

222 thoughts on “So it’s draft day”

  1. The draft is on TV? Talk about 2 minutes of fame. Nobody will even remember most of these guys.

  2. Heyward would be nice but I don’t think he’ll be around.

    Sickels likes Smoker, FWIW, and the Bravos love them some polished lefty arms.

  3. I’m looking at mlb.com’s draft tracker and their Date of Births are way off. My brother graduates high school this year and he was born in ’88. Everyone in his class was born in either ’88 or ’89… mlb.com has some high school kids on there botn in 1993. That’s completely wrong.

  4. I don’t know if Heyward or Bumgartner will be there, which sucks. But I kind of want Beavan, he’s huge, standing at 6’7″ and is being compared to the right-handed version of Randy Johnson because he’s intimidating and throws in the mid 90’s.

    I like smoker too, it’s being said, at least by a couple of websites that I’ve read, that he’s one of the best left-handers in the draft.

    By the way, i’m going to be live blogging the first round or so of the draft…no reason other than for shits and giggles.

  5. Heyward is best case scenario, but I am not confident that they will get their chance. I am still not sold on Smoker–this is the best draft position the Braves have had in a decade and a half. I would hate to see them settle for somebody that they might get between 20-25.

    One name to watch is Sean Doolittle–his stock is rising and you may remember that the Braves drafted him in the 39th round in 2004…

  6. Didn’t Smoker’s velocity drop off considerably toward the end of his season? No, thanks.

    Wow, LaPorta went early.

  7. Two Vandy boys taken in the Top 8…and we’re sitting at home, watching Michigan in the Super-Regionals. I hate my life.

  8. Heyward and all our other possible picks are all there….should be interesting…

    Great Day for Vandy sports!!

  9. If the Giants could trade down or trade their picks for vets like Chris Woodward you know they would.

  10. What I read about Smoker says left-hander who throws a 94 MPH fastball, great curveball and a splitter that’s “major league ready”.

  11. It doesn’t sound like there’s a consistant report on Smoker. The one I read said low 90’s (lower than 94) with 3 developed secondary pitches and that he started sucking more towards the end of the year.

  12. I know for a fact that his velocity dropped in his last couple starts. That’s not a good sign. Let’s look elsewhere.

  13. I would be thrilled if we got Smoker with our Supplemental pick….but we should be able to do better with #14….

  14. If his velocity is down, than you’re right, forget it.

    Still, I am hoping for a pitcher regardless of Heyward’s availability.

    But I trust the Braves’ scouts to make the right decision.

  15. Just two picks away…Heyward would be great,Beavan too…I’m with Stu and Stephen, i’d take Smoker with our supplemental pick.

  16. Sean Doolittle is still there if we want a bat.

    Dominguez, the 3B that got mentioned here a few days ago is gone.

  17. Well we are one pick away and Heyward and Beavan are still around so we will get one of them.

  18. Just out of curiousity, how is the OF we took last year doing? Last I saw, he was hitting under .200

  19. That pick last year was epically awful. he struck-out over 35% of his AB’s; hit .190 in the lowest level of the minors and was described by one scout as having a horribly flawed swing (we graded an “F” for that pick). it sounds as if someone fell in love with a big kid with a 4.4 forty time.

  20. Funny how I am holding my breath hoping the Braves get Heyward when I really have no idea about any of these guys.

  21. We’re going to get Jason Heyward. A lot of places had him going to the Marlins.

    The guys at Baseball Prospectus blogging the draft said that Cleveland wants a pitcher.

    Hooray!!!

  22. Wow, I love Jim Callis and I love his work, but he’s scary looking on tv. I can’t get over it, sorry.

  23. Okay, so this draft moves along much more like our fantasy drafts. You barely have time to comment.

  24. The main problem with Doolittle is he isn’t that good. I’ve seen him compared to Dave Magadan. I’ll pass.

  25. John Cody Johnson was awful in the GCL last year (184/ 260/ 281), so I’m guessing that he’ll be there again what their season begins in a couple of weeks.

    And welcome to our newest Brave, Mr. Heyward! The mock-drafters had the right idea in that we’d take another local, but not Mr. Smoker.

  26. Heyward’s dad played basketball at Dartmouth and his uncle played basketball for Wooden, so he has some athleticism.

  27. I’m elated. Unlike last year, when I was confused. Now, let’s pile on the pitching from here on out.

  28. smoker might fall that low, although watch the white sox at 23. This was the correct pick for the Braves.

  29. Hey, as long as we keep getting the best players that other teams inexplicably pass up, I’ll be pleased as punch. Especially when they’re Georgia boys like Heyward and (crossing fingers) Smoker.

  30. Heyward! Let’s hope Smoker is available in the supplemental round. It seems like the Braves got the guy they wanted. Hopefully he turns out the way they project him.

  31. It would be great if we could get Smoker with the next pick; I am agree with Stu–let collect some arms….

  32. BP’s Kevin Goldstein & Bryan Smith on the pick:

    “Kevin Goldstein (12:37:54 PM PST): Braves love tools, Braves love guys from the local East Cobb program, Braves love Heyward. They wanted him all along, they just didn’t think he’d be there. Great pick, and he’ll outperform some of the high school bats that went ahead of him.

    BSmith (12:38:37 PM PST): It appears Heyward was Plan B for a lot of teams, which was great for the Braves, who got their guy at 14. No surprise from Georgia, but this isn’t merely a local pick, this is a really good move by the Braves. I like Heyward’s potential a little more than LaPorta and Mills, and his plate discipline doesn’t mean his bust potential is as high as a lot of prep players.”

  33. Thanks Jeremy. Sickels liked him a great deal as well:

    Georgia high school outfielder Jason Heyward is, for me at least, one of the most intriguing players in the draft. A lefthanded hitter with plus power potential, he’s got solid tools all around…his worst tools are speed and arm strength, where he ranks as average. He has tons of power, and he has unusually good strike zone judgment for a high school hitter. He looks great to me on video, and I haven’t heard anything negative about his makeup or work ethic. And he’s one of the younger players available, not turning 18 until early August.

    He’s definitely a top ten prospect, but here’s the thing about Heyward that really intrigues me. When I look over his scouting reports, and watch the video, and talk with people, I like him better all the time. In fact, I like him better than I like Vitters or Moustakas at this point. I think he’s the best high school position player in the draft.

  34. I’ve been reading Sickels, and his enthusiasm on Heyward is definitely infectious. I know that I shouldn’t get TOO excited about a 17-year old high school hitting prospect, but this guy sounds like the real deal.

  35. Thanks Jeremy. Sickels liked him as well–here is the corrected version:

    “Georgia high school outfielder Jason Heyward is, for me at least, one of the most intriguing players in the draft. A lefthanded hitter with plus power potential, he’s got solid tools all around…his worst tools are speed and arm strength, where he ranks as average. He has tons of power, and he has unusually good strike zone judgment for a high school hitter. He looks great to me on video, and I haven’t heard anything negative about his makeup or work ethic. And he’s one of the younger players available, not turning 18 until early August.

    He’s definitely a top ten prospect, but here’s the thing about Heyward that really intrigues me. When I look over his scouting reports, and watch the video, and talk with people, I like him better all the time. In fact, I like him better than I like Vitters or Moustakas at this point. I think he’s the best high school position player in the draft.”

  36. I don’t wanna get too excited, either, AAR, but I project him as the all-time homerun leader by the end of his Major League career.

  37. I predict he’s going to be so good that they’ll melt down statues of Hank Aaron across the nation to build one super Heyward statue. All before he turns 25.

  38. How much of this is being covered on ESPN2?

    Wow, Kozma already picked. That surprises me.

  39. David15,

    I’m pretty sure they are covering the first round and then the supplemental round, after that I think it’s only available on MLB.com.

  40. I hope Jason Heyward is in damn HIGH SCHOOL CALC CLASS right now reading this on the classroom computer laughing his ass off.

  41. 105 – ESPN2 is going to have the draft until 6 p.m.

    At least that’s what my cable system was showing earlier.

  42. I predict Heyward will be so good that Delta will dump Jeff Francoeur and go with him (uh, what’s his first name by the way)? Gee, I can’t wait to see him contributing in 2011.

  43. His first name is from here on, Chuck “Donkey Punchin’, Infinity Countin’, Shit Kickin'” Heyward. The Chuck is for Norris obviously (It’s really Jason).

  44. thanks, Jay. I’d like to keep watching until the point where nobody on set has any idea who the kids being picked are.

  45. Crop circles are Jason Heyward’s way of telling the world that, sometimes, corn just needs to lie the heck down.

  46. Jason Heyward is a future outfielder or first-baseman for the Atlanta Braves. He played baseball in high school for Henry County High School in McDonough, Georgia. He was selected 14th overall in the 2007 Major League Baseball Draft. He also lists his heroes as Chuck Norris, Mac Thomason, and God. It is rumored that in 6th Grade Math Class, Jason counted to infinity. Twice.

  47. Haven’t heard Smoker’s name being mentioned. He may very well be there in the supplemental round.

    No word on Andrew Brackman either.

  48. Brackman’s stock was falling before the draft–I am also waiting on Main, whom I would take over Smoker….

  49. Brackman still throws almost 100 mph and there just aren’t many guys who do that.

    Nick Schmidt to the Pads…

  50. The Porcello guy who the XM people are calling the best high school pitcher is still on the board.

  51. Yeah, I say we draft Porcello and just make a great offer. If the Yanks or Sox don’t do it before us, anyway.

  52. Matt Harvey is another pticher I would love to have, he’s one of the best in the draft but his stock is falling because he’s a Boras guy.

    And yes, Smoker looks like it’s a real possibility at this point.

  53. I think the Yanks will take either Porcello or Harvey and Smoker looks increasingly available. Given Smoker’s last month he may fall to the Braves or further….

  54. Man, watching his scouting video, Porcello has such an easy delivery for someone who throws so hard. Very nice.

  55. Here’s a question: if you can’t trade MLB picks, how can the Texas Rangers have the #17 and #24 picks of the first round?

    I know there are supplemental picks for losing free agents, but I thought those came at the end of the round.

    Anyone?

  56. According to MLB.com, the Rangers’ #17 pick is “from Astros for type A Lee”, and their #24 pick is “from Angels for type A Matthews.”

    Lucky dogs.

  57. They got the 17th pick from the Astros for Carlos Lee, and the 24th pick from the Angels for Mathews. They lost their 16th pick to the Blue Jays for Catalanatto of all people. The rules for A, B, and C types are kind of complicated as to who gets what, so I’d advise just looking it up cause I don’t know it off the top of my head by any means.

  58. For the A guys, you get the first round pick of team that signs your free agent if they pick in the bottom half of the round, or their second rounder if not. You also get a sandwich pick at the end of the first round.

  59. Someone edited my Wiki on Heyward so the thing about infinity is gone, but they left the thing about Norris and Mac being his heroes.

  60. Okay, I see. Thanks.

    But now my question is, which pick did the Nats get for losing Alfonso Soriano to the Cubs? Surely, he would be a Type A. And then they would have had their own pick for A) being so crappy and B) not signing anyone of note.

    This is the first time I’ve followed the MLB draft. It’s a strange creature.

  61. Stu, thanks bud. That clears things considerably.

    Thanks to AAR and JoshTTM too. Good stuff.

  62. It’s on that page. They got pick 67 for Soriano, probably because the Cubs were in the top half of the first round.

  63. Cary, the Nats gets the 31st pick, the first pick of the supplemental round. Since the Cubs were awful, their first-round pick was protected.

    Two more picks til the Braves at 33, and Smoker is still out there.

  64. After the supplemental pick at 33, the Braves pick at 78, 108, 138, etc. on to 1518 (50th round).

  65. Most don’t think it will go past 40 rounds this year, what with the end of the Draft-and-Follow regime.

  66. Yep, it’s important to keep that aspect of the Betemit trade in mind, Ethan. We got a couple picks out of it.

  67. Spike, thanks also for the CBS Sportsline draft tracker link. It’s helpful to see the free agents listed by the compensation picks.

    So our upcoming pick (#33 overall) was acquired for losing Danys Baez to the Orioles. Ha!

  68. It’s now 5:10…so apparently, they’ve started back up. But I don’t hear any picks.

  69. Well, when you get two picks, it’s pretty tough not to have one of the better first rounds.

  70. Going all the way back up near the top of the thread…

    Stu,
    How is it again that you know “for a fact” that Jeff Smoker’s velocity tailed off in his final two starts? Just curious on that one.

  71. Noah,

    Oh damn..I guess they did start..well thanks for updating, because ESPN is still talking about Boras and so is mlb.tv

  72. Why do we not want smoker? I’d take Harvey, of course, but it sucks to have to negotiate with Boras, who has a way of making M&Ms look like razorblades.

  73. Yeah Noah,

    Harvey is very very good…should’ve been a top 15 pick or better but Boras has teams afraid to take him. I hope we take him.

    WE just took a third baseman…woah! Jonathan Gilmore.

  74. Player Name: Jon Gilmore
    Position: Third base
    School: City High School, Iowa City
    School Type: High School
    Academic Class: Senior
    Birthdate: 08/23/88
    Height: 6’3″
    Weight: 190 lbs.
    Bats: Right
    Throws: Right

    Hitting Ability: Gilmore showed a better approach at the plate during this showcase than he had in the past. He adjusted well to offspeed stuff and showed good extension through the zone.

    Power: Gilmore has projectable raw power.

    Running Speed: He’s a below-average runner.

    Arm Strength: Gilmore’s arm seemed tired or labored during the showcase.

    Fielding: Gilmore was a little slow defensively with an almost casual approach.

    Range: The lack of quickness showed and his range was limited.

    Physical Description: Gilmore has an Aaron Boone-body type and has changed physically in the past year, looking stronger now.

    Medical Update: Healthy.

    Strengths: Offensive potential, with power and overall hitting ability projection.

    Weaknesses: His defensive game is behind his bat and was lackluster with the glove at this showcase.

    Summary: Gilmore improved at the plate tremendously in his senior season. The infielder has good raw power and showed a better overall approach in his offensive game. His defense isn’t as sharp, but he will be drafted because of his bat potential.

  75. The scouting report suggests his feet are slow and his defense is terrible (I’m reading the one Jay posted, without citation, from mlb.com), so I’m not sure how he was considered a shortstop. But I like the “power potential” part.

  76. Thanks Jay10. Last year the Braves were successful in getting lots of good arms (Locke, Rasmus, Rogers and Evarts) and they have already signed Cole Rohrbaugh (one of the best JCs available) so it seems like position players are key this year.

  77. Heyward doesn’t seem to stride much during his swing. Scouting videos are available on the MLB draftcaster.

  78. I guess it’s lucky I started schilling this week for my team, huh? Come on you fat bastard.

    Heyward is a great, great pickup for the Braves. couldn’t be more thrilled that he fell to us. He of course could end up not panning out, but is exactly the type of risk we needed to take. Wuhoo!

  79. Try and bunt Kendall, I would love that. It would piss Schilling off everyday the rest of his life.

  80. Well that’s unfortunate, couldn’t have happened to a bigger douche, I mean nicer guy. I hope he loses the game now.

  81. It would’ve been better had Mark Ellis gone deep in the next AB. But oh well. Screw Curt Schilling.

  82. Sorry about your fantasy team, Kyle, but I’m with Adam on this one. I still hope the Sox win the game, though, because they need to win the division this year.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *